Only-Knifeedge
0xf83760d954f8c18549505a98016a9f2100944311
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-95.50
Realised
$-0.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?
914 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-26.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?
394 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
272 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
144 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
136 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
116 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.84
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
107 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
62 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
56 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?$3.14May 4, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00May 4, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$2.14May 4, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.07May 4, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$15.64May 3, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in May 2026?$15.71May 3, 18:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$74.18May 1, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$2.00Apr 26, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1.94Apr 25, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$2.00Apr 25, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$3.00Apr 25, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.00Apr 25, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.00Apr 24, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$2.00Apr 24, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$3.00Apr 24, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$1.00Apr 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$2.00Apr 24, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Apr 24, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$2.00Apr 24, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in April 2026?$2.80Apr 24, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $5.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 23:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.