Belated-Dispatch
0xf8396924e3db26b31716dd3f654a8aad50b94896
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$52.05
Total PnL
$-108.42
Realised
$-4.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
141 shares @ 26.6¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.05
$-1.50
- YES
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
770 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.40
$-23.86
- YES
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
211 shares @ 10.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.60
$-16.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?
2216 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 4 to November 11, 2025?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 12 or later?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$33.50May 31, 20:42 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$22.49May 31, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$11.16May 31, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?$3.05May 30, 14:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$2.99May 30, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?$5.15May 24, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$10.12May 6, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 7?$1.03May 6, 08:37 UTC
- REWARD$2.32May 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$8.55Apr 29, 21:17 UTC
- REWARD$2.32Apr 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$0.95Apr 28, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$2.29Apr 28, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$61.36Apr 6, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$61.36Apr 6, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$34.26Apr 1, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$34.26Apr 1, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$50.50Mar 27, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$30.00Mar 27, 08:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$80.50Mar 27, 08:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $22.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 23, 13:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".