Smug-Tire
0xf83f513c248d227ad06d8f51d965c2609a8f1717
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$29.6K
Total PnL
$723.90
Realised
$513.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
19999 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$19.9K
$50.02
- YES
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
5275 shares @ 97.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$5.2K
$97.39
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.0K
$33.30
- NO
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
1300 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$1.3K
$19.95
- NO
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
200 shares @ 94.6¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$198.80
$9.60
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$70.1KJun 14, 02:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.74Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$3.12Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- SPLITWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$70.1KJun 13, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$18.9KJun 13, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$992.01Jun 13, 03:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$3.0KJun 11, 04:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$31.8KJun 11, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$86.62Jun 11, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$10.74Jun 11, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$36.54Jun 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$197.08Jun 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$485.50Jun 10, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$390.40Jun 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$488.00Jun 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$293.09Jun 10, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$3.72Jun 10, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$11.35Jun 10, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$76.28Jun 10, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$9.78Jun 10, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$19.2K
Trades
3
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 4, 00:00 UTC → Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$7.4K@98¢Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.9K@98¢Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$5.9K@98¢Jun 3, 23:55 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$19.2K
3 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
limited
3 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
$19.2K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.4K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 04:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 02:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.