0xf8438e498c6b202af1514f1f668b8b059bf999b1
0xf8438e498c6b202af1514f1f668b8b059bf999b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-32.21
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
1910 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
867 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-285.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
800 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
497 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-163.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
450 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
302 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-99.66
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
231 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$0.62Jul 6, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$25.06Jul 6, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$47.89Jul 6, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.00Feb 24, 05:38 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.76Feb 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$47.38Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.37Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.25Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.00Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.37Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$25.00Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$12.50Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$12.50Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.50Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$17.18Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.37Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.33Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$1.71Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$2.00Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$0.33Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $4.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 6, 08:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.