Impolite-Gasp
0xf8448789c18a64cf77ae4c2f55dbba8745fa9cd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$105.98
Total PnL
$4.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$100.46
$8.04
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
3 shares @ 59.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$3.35
$1.35
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$2.17
$1.17
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?
142 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?
4 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
2 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$92.42Dec 11, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?$1.00Nov 21, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$1.00Nov 21, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 17-23?$1.00Nov 21, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$1.00Nov 21, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released on November 22 2025?$1.00Nov 18, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 17, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$2.04Nov 10, 01:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.59Nov 10, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$1.00Nov 7, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$1.00Nov 7, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Nov 7, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $7.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 7, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 11, 14:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.