Gargantuan-Crocus-Fetus
0xf8467cd3489d395ae62744e90b800366db3bb8cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-265.85
Realised
$1.63
Win rate
3%
29 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
181 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.07
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
65 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
60 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
44 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.38
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
34 shares @ 15.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.30
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
30 shares @ 40.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.13
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
25 shares @ 62.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.56
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
22 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-9.44
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
22 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$0.00
$-15.21
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
20 shares @ 47.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.59
Recent activity
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.54Aug 13, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$4.73Aug 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$2.76Aug 13, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$3.62Aug 13, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.98Aug 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$3.16Aug 13, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$7.17Aug 13, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.87Aug 13, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$7.96Aug 13, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.42Aug 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$4.45Aug 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.07Aug 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$4.36Aug 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.94Aug 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.47Aug 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.02Aug 13, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - August 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Aug 13, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$1.53Aug 13, 06:31 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$17.27Aug 13, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
65/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 29 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
29 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $6.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 13, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 13, 07:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 29 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.