Flawless-Proposition
0xf84e9225a803c86cdcdcc1f7a87b3919c6db3538
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$2.90
Total PnL
$-693.43
Realised
$17.91
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- YES
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
10 shares @ 46.5¢·now 19.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.95
$-2.70
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Idaho governor race in 2026?
18 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.95
$-0.13
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
10000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
100 shares @ 64.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-64.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
100 shares @ 70.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-70.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
100 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-88.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 3AM ET
100 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-34.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
70 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
63 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-6.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
55 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-37.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$2.60Feb 6, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10PM ET$5.00Feb 6, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$1.90Feb 6, 03:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10PM ET$1.40Feb 6, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10PM ET$3.75Feb 6, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10PM ET$2.25Feb 6, 03:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$3.10Feb 6, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$2.90Feb 6, 01:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.00Feb 6, 01:04 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$10.00Feb 6, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.05Dec 16, 13:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.60Dec 12, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 12?$1.12Dec 12, 04:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$5.00Dec 12, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Dec 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$3.65Dec 5, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5AM ET$49.00Dec 5, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5AM ET$48.50Dec 5, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11PM ET$71.37Dec 5, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 11PM ET$20.00Dec 5, 04:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $15.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 4, 08:47 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 6, 07:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".