Single-Papa
0xf85c6440e0f0b8af0dea144637cb45dbf81ead23
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-1.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$6.00
$0.42
- NO
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$6.00
$1.38
- NO
Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?
6 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$6.00
$0.15
- NO
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$6.00
$0.60
- NO
Will Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?
6 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$6.00
$0.33
- NO
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2025$5.00
$1.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on June 2?
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$5.00
$1.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on June 2?
5 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$5.00
$0.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on June 2?
5 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$5.00
$0.25
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or below on June 2?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2025$5.00
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?$3.75Jun 1, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?$4.25Jun 1, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win more than 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$5.58Jun 1, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win less than 45% of the vote in the South Korea election?$5.85Jun 1, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win between 45% and 47% of the vote in the South Korea election?$5.67Jun 1, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win between 53% and 55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$4.62Jun 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win between 49% and 51% of the vote in the South Korea election?$4.38Jun 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win between 47% and 49% of the vote in the South Korea election?$5.40Jun 1, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 69-70°F on June 2?$4.75May 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on June 2?$3.75May 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 77-78°F on June 2?$4.45May 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on June 2?$4.50May 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or below on June 2?$4.95May 31, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 30-35m views on day 1?$1.30Apr 21, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin all time high in April?$0.27Apr 21, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25-30m views on day 1?$1.30Apr 21, 03:00 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?$5.00Apr 21, 02:59 UTC
- CONVERSION# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?$5.00Apr 21, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get <20m views on day 1?$4.80Apr 21, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get 40m+ views on day 1?$4.30Apr 21, 02:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 22:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".