0xf85e576fef8762ba01c332e81d70de480f263c77
0xf85e576fef8762ba01c332e81d70de480f263c77
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$64.96
Total PnL
$5.72
Realised
$-3.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
40 shares @ 75.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$40.23
$9.84
- NO
Foreign intervention in Gaza by April 30?
15 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$14.54
$0.34
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
11 shares @ 87.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.07
$-0.49
- NO
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
1 shares @ 82.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.12
$0.17
- YES
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.01
$-0.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 8, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$7.87Apr 17, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$9.55Apr 16, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYForeign intervention in Gaza by April 30?$6.33Apr 16, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.94Apr 16, 07:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$8.01Apr 15, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$10.14Apr 15, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$1.67Apr 15, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$1.85Apr 15, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$22.97Apr 15, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.55Apr 15, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$4.37Apr 15, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$7.03Apr 15, 12:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$9.43Apr 15, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.60Apr 14, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$4.95Apr 14, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.92Apr 14, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$6.54Apr 14, 14:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$1.75Apr 14, 12:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 06:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 8, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.