Energetic-Habitat
0xf8643b1196028f90d50c1c8211d826ce4ff8496f
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.91
Total PnL
$-694.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 31?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.91
$-0.09
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 10?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 6?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 9?
370 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 14?
345 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 15?
303 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on June 11?
256 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11?
222 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.89
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 5?
167 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.49
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 17?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 31?$1.04Jul 30, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on July 31?$0.73Jul 30, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 30?$0.83Jul 30, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on July 31?$1.04Jul 29, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 30?$0.87Jul 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?$0.71Jul 29, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31?$1.05Jul 29, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 30?$0.36Jul 29, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 30?$1.05Jul 29, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on July 30?$1.04Jul 29, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 30?$0.67Jul 29, 07:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 30?$0.77Jul 29, 06:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 30?$0.96Jul 29, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on July 29?$0.56Jul 29, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 30?$1.04Jul 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 21°C on July 30?$1.04Jul 29, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 30?$1.04Jul 29, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on July 30?$1.14Jul 29, 02:07 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds$5.98Jul 29, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?$0.71Jul 28, 12:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $0.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 08:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 06:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.