Sociable-Octagon
0xf864e1d2a9d2f77f9ff5e66b10ad5d36de4f7055
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$111.94
Total PnL
$2.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
9 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$9.48
$0.18
- NO
Will fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?
8 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.33
$0.03
- YES
Will "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$5.30
$0.01
- YES
Will Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$5.23
$0.03
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?
5 shares @ 96.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.21
$0.20
- YES
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
5 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.19
$0.09
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by December 31?
5 shares @ 98.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Unidad por Chile gain the most seats in the Senate election?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$5.01
$0.01
- YES
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$5.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$5.00Nov 17, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Evelyn Matthei win less than 9% of votes in the first round?$4.80Nov 17, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?$3.00Nov 17, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abigail Spanberger win by 15-18%?$5.20Nov 17, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Unidad por Chile gain the most seats in the Senate election?$5.00Nov 17, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$4.50Nov 17, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in November?$5.00Nov 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$4.30Nov 17, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$4.50Nov 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 210 and 219 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$4.60Nov 17, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 210 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$4.00Nov 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$5.01Nov 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a dozen eggs cost <$2.75 in October?$5.00Nov 17, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$4.30Nov 17, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the second most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$4.70Nov 17, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$4.60Nov 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$5.10Nov 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1750 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$5.00Nov 17, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Now You See Me: Now You Don't" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?$4.00Nov 17, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Running Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?$5.30Nov 17, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $7.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 17, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".