Mundane-Plight
0xf871d28832655f6da027d33870f93c26170afdea
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Manchester City lead the EPL in points at midway point?
113 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2024$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Southampton wins the Premier League?
80 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.40
- YES
Will Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
55 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$0.30Dec 10, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouthampton wins the Premier League?$0.40Dec 10, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City lead the EPL in points at midway point?$0.90Dec 10, 08:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$0.00Dec 10, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$1.33Jul 24, 15:04 UTC
- REDEEMReal Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Final$1.77Jul 24, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYReal Madrid vs. Dortmund: Champions League Final$1.33May 9, 15:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$10.67May 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump mention $boden before July?$8.00May 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$10.00May 9, 15:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?$19.37May 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 4, 2024?$1.47May 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?$28.46May 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out of presidential race?$30.00May 9, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump mention $boden before July?$8.00May 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024?$30.00May 7, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2024?$12.00May 7, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill North Korea invade South Korea in 2024?$20.00May 7, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$30.00May 7, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$10.00May 7, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $11.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 18:07 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 10, 08:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.