0xf8739fad638a780b15129f4287f3301e6e6a7e9e
0xf8739fad638a780b15129f4287f3301e6e6a7e9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$50.00
Total PnL
$-59.2K
Realised
$56.48
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?
50 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$50.00
$9.00
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104
82546 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-11.8K
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
55000 shares @ 43.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-23.7K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64
50742 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-4.0K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
41883 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 15-34
12986 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-599.50
- YES
Kamala Harris blowout victory?
10000 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
9972 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.1K
- YES
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 155-214
9927 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-486.94
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
8600 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.2K
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?$0.00Nov 6, 12:24 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, R Senate, D House$108.00Nov 6, 01:39 UTC
- REWARD$12.61Nov 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$20.00Nov 5, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$4.00Nov 5, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$1.20Nov 5, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$51.19Nov 5, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$106.12Nov 5, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$35.82Nov 5, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$0.73Nov 5, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$18.07Nov 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$9.84Nov 5, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$4.00Nov 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$20.00Nov 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$24.00Nov 5, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$10.92Nov 5, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$16.33Nov 5, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$20.00Nov 5, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$24.51Nov 5, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$1.20Nov 5, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $47.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.