Complex-Vulture
0xf87491f1f83ca08fab87f0047ad9044c782f328f
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$57.97
Total PnL
$-3.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
58 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$57.97
$-0.03
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 11?
239 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on June 12?$41.10Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$58.00Jun 10, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on June 11?$1.05Jun 10, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $1,100 on June 12?$41.01Jun 10, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$101.10Jun 6, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 6?$101.01Jun 5, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$96.19Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.30May 31, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.24May 31, 21:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.14May 31, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$96.00May 31, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$96.10May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$96.01May 30, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?$97.10May 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?$97.00May 28, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$97.10May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$97.00May 25, 06:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$97.10May 19, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$97.00May 17, 06:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 15?$96.10May 15, 19:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $60.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 7, 03:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.