Ambitious-Rope
0xf8757fc917fefde8f5bf60b666093dc631abe0ea
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-33.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Poilievre say "Tariffs" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?$31.03Apr 17, 01:22 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$26.32Apr 4, 03:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$0.00Mar 20, 00:26 UTC
- REDEEMBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $0.00Mar 15, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.15Mar 2, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$0.00Mar 2, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBSW wins 5% or more of vote in German election? $5.00Feb 23, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $0.00Feb 7, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $33.90Jan 23, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$27.50Jan 23, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump imposes 40% tariff on China in first 100 days?$5.83Jan 23, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$8.00Jan 22, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?$2.05Jan 22, 11:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the next German election?$3.35Jan 22, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden issue more pardons than Trump?$78.46Jan 21, 13:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?$0.00Jan 21, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLYoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$0.07Dec 31, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump pardon January 6 protestors on Day 1?$12.39Dec 15, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden issue more pardons than Trump?$20.00Dec 15, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$5.00Dec 15, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $14.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 6, 09:47 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.