Mysterious-Hatchet
0xf877923687adb403b5ba8512ee7be3973e74753c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-217.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 1?
291 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 11?
282 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 9?
278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.92
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 1?
278 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.36
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on January 8?
276 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 8?
273 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 9?
272 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.36
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 13?
269 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
267 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will BNB reach $1,050 in December?
263 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 May 18-24?$1.54May 24, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on May 24?$7.03May 23, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 23?$1.99May 22, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 19?$1.36May 18, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 May 11-17?$91.41May 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?$3.27May 11, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?$2.40May 10, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$100.42May 8, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$0.10May 7, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 8?$97.21May 7, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 18?$98.24Apr 30, 20:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on April 18?$96.57Apr 17, 18:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?$91.72Apr 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?$0.29Apr 12, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 13?$90.15Apr 12, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 11?$1.09Apr 11, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 29?$95.93Apr 11, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 1?$1.79Mar 31, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 13?$0.00Mar 31, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 29?$94.49Mar 28, 20:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $36.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 18:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 13:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.