Standard-Filth
0xf880797606fe9609d8635c2eabab141d104cd779
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-89.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 29)
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
287 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?
157 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31?
61 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-28.06
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
37 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$0.00Mar 29, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31?$14.50Mar 25, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31?$14.00Mar 25, 14:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Mar 23, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 23, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 23, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29)$31.76Mar 23, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Project Hail Mary" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$10.00Mar 23, 07:12 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?$25.88Mar 23, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22?$0.00Mar 23, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. forces seize another oil tanker by March 31?$11.00Mar 22, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 22?$10.00Mar 22, 04:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Paid a big price" or "Paying a big price" this week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 22, 01:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 22?$17.83Mar 22, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$10.00Mar 21, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Regime Change" this week? (March 29)$10.00Mar 21, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)$34.00Mar 21, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?$1.03Mar 20, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?$0.78Mar 20, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in March 2026?$1.24Mar 20, 22:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $10.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 21:17 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 21:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.