Melodic-Injury
0xf882c1cbd0200cb0e8327f057f689097c85f6c3d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-474.93
Realised
$-2.40
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 9°C on March 13?
484 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-31.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 12?
464 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-32.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 12?
444 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-40.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 13?
393 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-70.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 13?
379 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 12?
369 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-33.99
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 13?
292 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 60-61°F on March 12?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on March 12?
238 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-36.21
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 13?
236 shares @ 7.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-18.64
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 12?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or higher on March 13?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on March 12?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 13?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 13?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 12?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 13?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on March 13?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 13?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C or higher on March 13?$0.00Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 13?$16.33Mar 14, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13?$100.00Mar 14, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 13?$170.31Mar 14, 14:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on March 13?$41.66Mar 14, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13?$93.75Mar 13, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on March 13?$254.40Mar 13, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on March 13?$20.83Mar 13, 18:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?$437.71Mar 13, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 13?$2.15Mar 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 13?$0.32Mar 13, 16:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 14:20 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 22, 00:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.