Cheery-Appearance
0xf887187309f256199096a4eb30007ee3f04353f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$121.4K
Total PnL
$1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
40000 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$39.9K
$540.04
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
20000 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.9K
$70.04
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
20000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.9K
$90.00
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
15000 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.0K
$107.52
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31?
15000 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$14.8K
$127.50
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30?
10002 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$10.0K
$60.01
- NO
Will Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?
1306 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$1.3K
$3.74
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
581 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$578.60
$2.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$34.78Jun 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$541.79Jun 20, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?$30.77Jun 18, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026?$58.30Jun 18, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$131.5KJun 18, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$8.7KJun 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$664.67Jun 17, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$997.00Jun 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$41.0KJun 17, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$25.7KJun 17, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$1.4KJun 17, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$10.0KJun 17, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$5.0KJun 17, 17:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$19.34Jun 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$19.60Jun 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$20.37Jun 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$7.8KJun 17, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$30.0KJun 17, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? $1.69Jun 15, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$9.9KJun 15, 01:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.9K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 20, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.