Buttery-Tadpole
0xf88a8b65616239759923d34049ad7a99e6685b41
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-296.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
193 shares @ 60.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-117.66
- YES
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
159 shares @ 34.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-54.50
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
108 shares @ 46.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.49
- YES
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
106 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Circle IPO in 2024?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
37 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-8.59
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
30 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?
22 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-9.99
- YES
Diddy sex tape released before November?
15 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-5.41
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?$3.52Oct 28, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$117.66Oct 22, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?$9.99Oct 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$7.21Oct 10, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$8.28Oct 10, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City wins the Premier League?$28.53Oct 9, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City wins the Premier League?$5.96Oct 9, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$10.00Oct 8, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiddy sex tape released before November? $5.41Oct 8, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Circle IPO in 2024?$10.00Oct 7, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$8.59Oct 7, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15.00Oct 7, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$15.00Oct 6, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?$40.00Oct 3, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City wins the Premier League?$20.00Oct 3, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$15.00Oct 3, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$20.00Sep 11, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $20.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 11, 18:27 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 28, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".