Joyful-Soybean
0xf88cf29708acd99b4894c5debfb1e423ba11f906
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-43.01
Realised
$-0.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 26°C or below on June 2?
1179 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.36
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on May 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on May 30?
428 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or below on May 26?
400 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or below on May 29?
218 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or below on May 30?
206 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.22
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 18?
21 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-11.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 1?
18 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?
15 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-8.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 9°C on May 16?
10 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?$0.01Jul 7, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?$2.04Jul 7, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?$2.37Jul 7, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 7?$2.07Jul 6, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 5?$3.35Jul 4, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 2?$4.98Jul 2, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 2?$1.27Jul 1, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on July 2?$2.13Jul 1, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 24?$2.58Jun 24, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?$0.58Jun 23, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?$1.04Jun 23, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 24?$1.30Jun 23, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 24?$2.03Jun 23, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 24?$2.09Jun 23, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 24?$3.50Jun 23, 11:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?$0.87Jun 23, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 24?$3.20Jun 23, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 23?$3.12Jun 22, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?$4.99Jun 22, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 21?$3.10Jun 20, 16:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $3.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 15:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.