0xf88ec335555175708d82757e1a36571f0ee65109
0xf88ec335555175708d82757e1a36571f0ee65109
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
181
Open notional
$4.05
Total PnL
$-520.00
Realised
$-11.85
Win rate
30%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 181- UP
XRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$4.05
$1.05
- UP
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
800 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
361 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
350 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on July 3?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 1?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
120 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 92-93°F on July 2?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 1?
66 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$3.08Jul 11, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET$0.22Jul 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET$0.17Jul 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET$1.89Jul 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET$3.67Jul 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET$20.28Jul 11, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET$3.18Jul 11, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12AM ET$3.19Jul 11, 04:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.79Jul 11, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$5.42Jul 11, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.04Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.95Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.88Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.22Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.16Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.97Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.22Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$2.41Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.18Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.01Jul 11, 00:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $2.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 22:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.