Insidious-Adult
0xf8949f8524bb93a822cb1822189887c1135c4628
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $100,000 on December 20?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 11?
615 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 2?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1300 on Apr 18?
100 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$83.18May 31, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$83.10May 29, 08:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$83.18May 25, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$83.10May 25, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$83.08May 19, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$83.00May 17, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$82.98May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$82.90May 14, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$82.88May 12, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$82.80May 11, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$82.78May 8, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?$82.71May 8, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$82.78May 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$82.70Apr 29, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?$82.72Apr 29, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 25?$82.64Apr 25, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 21?$82.64Apr 25, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 21?$82.56Apr 21, 02:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$82.56Apr 21, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$82.48Apr 14, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $69.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 23:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".