Disloyal-Begonia
0xf8a31a5c2b72168cd0cc73f43dd9ae0e320c65c3
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$12.99
Total PnL
$-22.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$7.04
$2.04
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.95
$0.95
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?
69 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
19 shares @ 56.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?$5.00Mar 4, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$5.00Mar 4, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$5.00Mar 4, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.3KMar 4, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$2.3KMar 4, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$11.35Mar 4, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$15.79Mar 4, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$15.00Sep 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Sep 23, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Philadelphia Eagles win Super Bowl 2026?$9.00Jul 2, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$11.00Jul 2, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Jul 2, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$0.00Jul 2, 16:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0.00Feb 25, 16:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$63.22Feb 25, 16:22 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$10.50Jan 26, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$21.00Jan 23, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$42.50Jan 23, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$85.00Jan 23, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high in 2024?$6.17Jan 23, 08:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $255.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 09:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 4, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.