Impassioned-Alphabet
0xf8ab972994e11a23dcd79a985f687ae6d06e3e5c
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$282.50
Total PnL
$-173.80
Realised
$12.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
500 shares @ 24.0¢·now 19.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.25
$-21.75
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 52.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.10
$-20.90
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
50 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$50.00
$3.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
50 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$50.00
$1.30
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 35.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$1.15
$-2.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
110 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
87 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
67 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
55 shares @ 54.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?
10 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.90
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 29, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 27, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 24, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 17, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $25.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 19:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.