Quarterly-Fixture
0xf8ac88a62883583ed581ae92d7a8fa3d7b6b15b5
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.04
Total PnL
$-8.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?
5 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
4 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown in 2025?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$0.00Mar 24, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Mar 18, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown in 2025?$1.00Mar 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Mar 18, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Phoenix Suns win the Western Conference?$1.00Mar 18, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jarred McCain win NBA Rookie of the Year?$1.00Mar 18, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference?$2.00Mar 18, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon out as president of South Korea before April?$3.00Mar 18, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?$5.00Mar 18, 10:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 10:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".