Cavernous-Document
0xf8acef426e600ba08762f296f3f43324d5576a00
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$11.07
Total PnL
$-21.03
Realised
$-0.02
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.08
$0.03
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
5 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.02
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.1¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 19?
5233 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.47
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 21?
1072 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.10 on February 6?
1061 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 13?
1058 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on January 30?
1037 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,600 and $3,700 on January 23?
1030 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.03
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.01Jun 9, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$5.05May 21, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.01May 13, 07:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.08May 5, 08:28 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$5.41May 5, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$5.01May 5, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.08Apr 23, 00:28 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Apr 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$5.33Apr 10, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on March 21?$2.14Mar 21, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 11?$1.1KMar 12, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on March 11?$1.1KMar 11, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on March 10?$1.1KMar 11, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on March 10?$1.1KMar 10, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?$1.1KMar 10, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on March 9?$1.1KMar 9, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8?$1.1KMar 9, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 8?$1.1KMar 8, 01:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?$1.1KMar 8, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 7?$1.1KMar 7, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $478.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 23, 01:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 07:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.