Informal-Hacksaw
0xf8cde3cb67e7f85796773fdfcb3ab63ef94d6cbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-124.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will John Cornyn come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
219 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 25?
195 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.89
- YES
Will Amazon (AMZN) close at $215-$220 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?
182 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.37
- NO
Will Gina Hinojosa win the 2026 Texas Governor Democratic primary election?
167 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.34
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 20?
126 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Copper (HG) hit (HIGH) $6.50 by end of February?
121 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.91
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 21?
104 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.53
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 25?
101 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
96 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?
91 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 5?$212.00Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 5?$210.94Jun 4, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or higher on March 5?$16.20May 29, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 6?$24.05May 23, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?$31.45May 16, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$2.14May 10, 19:49 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$33.82May 9, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?$130.45May 1, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 19, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$30.10Apr 19, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMBlackburn Beavers vs. Eastern Illinois Panthers$0.00Apr 17, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 15?$1.92Apr 15, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 14?$127.58Apr 13, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1?$136.25Apr 10, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 1?$134.07Mar 31, 17:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 3?$0.00Mar 31, 17:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 2?$0.00Mar 30, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?$0.00Mar 29, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - March 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.35Mar 28, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.50 on March 25?$117.30Mar 28, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.50 on March 25?$115.54Mar 26, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $47.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 17:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 18:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.