Probable-Content
0xf8e03e071a15838bc396400c3c7719333473aadc
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$852.99
Total PnL
$1.1K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
947 shares @ 83.4¢·now 83.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$789.32
$-0.47
- NO
Will Norway finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
33 shares @ 61.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$18.32
$-1.81
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
457 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.02
$-0.91
- NO
Will Panama be the furthest advancing CONCACAF nation at the World Cup?
40 shares @ 45.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.80
$-5.20
- YES
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
271 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.18
$-0.79
- YES
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
363 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.08
$-0.30
- YES
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
301 shares @ 2.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.27
$-1.05
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$32.23Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.89Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$13.50Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.07Jun 13, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.2KJun 13, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$1.1KJun 13, 08:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$15.32Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.02Jun 13, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.99Jun 13, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- REWARD$0.51Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$78.90Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.18Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.34Jun 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$1.03Jun 12, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$789.80Jun 12, 21:49 UTC
- MERGEWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$112.00Jun 12, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$109.54Jun 12, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway finish second in Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$20.13Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $187.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 02:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 04:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.