Brief-Gator
0xf8e147d8e1f5aef18cc184e779b2f89fa6e532cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$40.14
Total PnL
$-11.90
Realised
$-0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
9 shares @ 45.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$5.77
$1.78
- NO
Will "The Dog Stars" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$4.69
$0.69
- NO
Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 120k and 140k?
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$4.65
$0.65
- NO
Will Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?
7 shares @ 59.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$4.03
$0.03
- NO
Will Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
6 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$3.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?
6 shares @ 71.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$3.88
$-0.11
- NO
Will Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?
6 shares @ 63.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will "The Sin: Bliss" - ENHYPEN first week album sales be between 100k and 120k?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Aug 28, 2026$3.41
$-0.58
- NO
Will "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 125k and 145k?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 58.0¢·exp Sep 4, 2026$3.22
$-0.78
- NO
Will Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?
8 shares @ 52.0¢·now 22.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.69
$-2.31
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Don't Look Down" - Rod Wave first week album sales be between 125k and 145k?$4.05Aug 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haley Thogmartin be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 6)?$4.07Aug 19, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harrison Ford – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a comedy series?$4.08Aug 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Ball – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a drama series?$4.06Aug 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Dog Stars" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.05Aug 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Insidious: Out of the Further" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$4.05Aug 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mamdani say "School" during his announcement?$4.08Aug 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Good Day" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$4.05Aug 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Warsh say "Bank" or "Asset" 10+ times during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?$4.08Aug 18, 18:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?$0.00Aug 18, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Boston - Stella Lefty" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of August 22?$7.84Aug 18, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Klarna say "Walmart" during earnings call?$4.08Aug 17, 18:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Compost" this week?$5.33Aug 17, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill anyone say "Camera" during Big Brother E20?$5.63Aug 17, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Ballroom" this week?$5.88Aug 17, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Aug 17, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Brink of War" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Aug 17, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "PAW Patrol: The Dino Movie" score at least 84 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$8.33Aug 17, 18:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Brink of War" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$0.00Aug 17, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Lost Weekend" - Phoebe Bridgers first week album sales be 90k or more?$4.10Aug 16, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $4.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 18:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.