Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-318.69

Realised

$33.20

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 51

DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 28?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 110 million or more views on week 1?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 28, 10AM ET
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$0.00
$-4.00
NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026
$0.00
$-2.50
YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$0.00
$-5.00
YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026
$0.00
$-4.00
NO
Will Netflix say "Warner Bros" during earnings call?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026
$0.00
$-1.00
YES
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027
$0.00
$-1.00

Recent activity

TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$2.50Feb 8, 20:19 UTC
TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$2.32Feb 8, 20:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$21.00Jan 29, 11:07 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$20.00Jan 29, 08:50 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$5.00Jan 29, 08:49 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$5.00Jan 29, 08:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$27.00Jan 29, 08:18 UTC
TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$6.79Jan 29, 08:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$5.00Jan 29, 08:13 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$5.00Jan 29, 07:50 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - January 29, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$15.00Jan 29, 07:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$7.00Jan 29, 07:44 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$7.82Jan 29, 07:42 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$30.26Jan 29, 07:42 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$11.00Jan 29, 07:40 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$11.11Jan 29, 07:40 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$12.00Jan 29, 07:39 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$15.45Jan 29, 07:38 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$7.00Jan 29, 07:38 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$37.10Jan 29, 07:38 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry6 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk49 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 48
Avg trade size: $12.56
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Jan 28, 20:23 UTC
Last active: Feb 8, 20:19 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:03:26 UTC·src:Polymarket Data