Chubby-Mile
0xf8e55193bab6ca05bc5720693802fcb6881dd863
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-309.63
Realised
$-114.75
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 13?
251 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.92
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 May 4-10?
200 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?
192 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.49
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 January 19-25?
140 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 22?
131 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?
107 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?
93 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.28
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 26?
90 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on April 12?
85 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-22.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 1?
84 shares @ 26.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-22.64
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on August 13?$3.12Aug 12, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 15?$213.77Jul 15, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 15?$0.44Jul 15, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on July 15?$211.41Jul 15, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3?$1.28Jul 2, 22:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?$226.17May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 27?$224.36May 26, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 26?$2.66May 26, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?$1.37May 21, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?$198.33May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?$0.13May 20, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?$0.20May 20, 02:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 20?$196.02May 20, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 19?$2.20May 19, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 13?$203.75May 13, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 13?$202.12May 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 12?$2.54May 11, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $100 May 4-10?$5.13May 10, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $130 on January 26?$0.00May 1, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on April 19?$1.62Apr 18, 19:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $57.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 16:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.