Tough-Commitment
0xf8e5df6306b38336fb07f607abce785f0b6171ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$78.42
Total PnL
$-166.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
100 shares @ 25.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$15.50
$-9.50
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
15 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.38
$5.38
- YES
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.50
$-0.50
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
172 shares @ 5.8¢·now 5.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.53
$-1.47
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.13
$-1.88
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.35
$-5.65
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
227 shares @ 4.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.52
$-6.48
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.12
$-6.88
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
147 shares @ 6.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.00
$-7.04
- YES
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
35 shares @ 14.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$-3.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".