Late-Forage
0xf8e70c6a372322dd8db1ea55656bf4672e6118de
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$34.24
Total PnL
$-31.90
Realised
$-1.13
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 14?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.18
$1.18
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on July 14?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 15?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.76
$0.76
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 14?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 14?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$1.66
$0.66
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 15?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 15?
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 15?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.13
$0.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 35.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.04
$0.04
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 22°C on July 15?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$1.04
$0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$1.59Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on July 14?$1.32Jul 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 16?$1.03Jul 14, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 14, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 14?$1.59Jul 14, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 16?$1.03Jul 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 16?$1.03Jul 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 16?$1.03Jul 14, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 14?$2.17Jul 14, 19:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 15?$1.02Jul 14, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 15?$1.03Jul 14, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 14?$2.63Jul 14, 16:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 14?$2.44Jul 14, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on July 14?$1.56Jul 14, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 14?$2.08Jul 14, 16:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?$2.33Jul 14, 16:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 14?$1.09Jul 14, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 15?$1.03Jul 14, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 14?$1.45Jul 14, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 21:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 22:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.