Last-Allocation
0xf8f25d19e3d29f293f03c195c8130e480cbe45a8
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$12.50
Total PnL
$-15.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?
13 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$12.50
$5.50
- BRUINS
Bruins vs. Flyers
19 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- NO
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?
13 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- HEAT
Hawks vs. Heat
6 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?$7.09May 14, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBruins vs. Flyers$9.00Feb 28, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMKnicks vs. 76ers$6.67Feb 28, 05:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?$15.17Feb 28, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. 76ers$3.00Feb 11, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYHawks vs. Heat$4.00Feb 3, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?$8.00Jan 23, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$15.96Jan 23, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $5 million?$15.00Jan 12, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$20.00Jan 12, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLDiscord IPO before 2027?$12.97Jan 11, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$13.00Jan 11, 15:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
10 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $10.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 11, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.