Worldly-Frigate
0xf8fe5c1bfcc8c3b68641fc752ff729ca729e49fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-176.19
Win rate
0%
194 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 24?
181 shares @ 25.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-46.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 24?
151 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-39.30
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
125 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
87 shares @ 77.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-67.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
84 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-43.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
74 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-46.41
- UP
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
71 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
66 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-46.41
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
53 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-51.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
52 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-50.51
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.45Aug 11, 10:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$5.02Aug 11, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$3.92Aug 11, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$5.14Aug 11, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$4.01Aug 11, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$4.39Aug 11, 09:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Aug 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$3.56Aug 11, 09:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.04Aug 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$1.00Aug 11, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.82Aug 11, 08:33 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.70Aug 11, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$2.00Aug 11, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$1.47Aug 11, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$4.09Aug 11, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$1.06Aug 11, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$4.00Aug 11, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$4.10Aug 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.00Aug 11, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$3.45Aug 11, 08:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 194 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
194 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $3.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 18:13 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 10:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 194 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.