Dapper-Ischemia
0xf90044b4dd5a81a2a0510abef6523c5133ad51a2
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-79.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥46.0% on July 18?
1769 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.5–45.9% on July 18?
513 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?
314 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% or less in June?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.3% in June?
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will annual inflation increase by 2.4% in June?
67 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Bird flu pandemic before August 2025?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US forces in Iran before August?
44 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMFirst round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?$64.10Apr 30, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Democratic candidate win the NYC mayoral election?$111.80Apr 30, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Travis Scott respond to Pusha T dissing him by July 20th?$16.67Jul 17, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be ≥46.0% on July 18?$20.00Jul 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 45.5–45.9% on July 18?$15.00Jul 13, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMBonnie Blue unbanned on OnlyFans in June?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill OPEC cut production by next meeting?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump exits Iran nuclear negotiations before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEM1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.5%?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMTulsi Gabbard out as United States Director of National Intelligence before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump announces removal of Harvard tax exempt status before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMDid the FBI destroy Epstein files?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMElon no longer world's richest before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMTrump invokes the Insurrection Act before July?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?$0.00Jul 13, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
6 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $9.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 08:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 08:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.