False-Tulip
0xf907748bf5eea28037bbce16f408112b95248c26
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.46
Total PnL
$-92.65
Realised
$129.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 39.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.46
$-0.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 25?
700 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 25?
300 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-27.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?
120 shares @ 66.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-80.20
- YES
Bitcoin above $120,000 on July 23?
120 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on November 25?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 7?
50 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Philippines President events on July 22?
36 shares @ 71.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2025$0.00
$-25.47
- NO
Will Trump say "China" 7+ times during his AI speech on July 23?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
20 shares @ 28.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?$12.30Dec 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?$35.00Dec 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?$12.60Dec 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?$9.10Dec 3, 20:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?$1.00Dec 3, 20:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?$7.18Dec 3, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?$52.80Dec 3, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?$0.91Dec 3, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?$3.65Dec 3, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?$50.19Dec 3, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,200 December 1-7?$65.00Dec 3, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?$23.25Dec 3, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?$18.25Dec 3, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLOver 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$54.00Dec 3, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$51.00Dec 3, 13:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 November 24-30?$10.00Dec 1, 08:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.64Nov 29, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?$11.20Nov 28, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?$69.00Nov 28, 16:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $3,100 November 24-30?$94.00Nov 28, 14:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $29.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 20:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".