Well-Made-Temperature
0xf90d65b8e02e6fa6923f70ef73350d16a4f1c157
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$590.31
Total PnL
$5.67
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?$252.00Jul 29, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?$332.64Jun 28, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$430.00Jun 4, 03:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$414.78May 29, 02:18 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$397.53May 29, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$100.57May 27, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US capture another world leader in 2026?$344.43May 27, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$91.57May 26, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$316.35May 26, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$72.21May 22, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$315.81May 22, 08:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.06Apr 28, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.26Apr 28, 06:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$60.00Apr 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$70.00Apr 28, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$54.77Apr 28, 05:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$80.13Apr 28, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.51Apr 28, 03:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Apr 28, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $386.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 06:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.