Daring-Camera
0xf913d85013c4aef363029fda73766ccc7d209e87
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$40.30
Total PnL
$-909.42
Realised
$63.67
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?
25 shares @ 52.4¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.75
$-0.35
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 16?
30 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$12.14
$0.45
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 42.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$8.39
$-1.40
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 15?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$7.02
$0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on May 14?
1360 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C or below on June 18?
275 shares @ 40.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-110.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?
275 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-187.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on June 9?
205 shares @ 76.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-157.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on May 8?
152 shares @ 62.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-95.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C or below on June 15?
146 shares @ 66.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-97.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?$3.73Jul 14, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 16?$18.79Jul 14, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 16?$1.44Jul 14, 10:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 16?$0.67Jul 14, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 16?$0.64Jul 14, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?$10.85Jul 14, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?$1.25Jul 14, 09:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?$0.16Jul 14, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?$2.97Jul 14, 09:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?$8.14Jul 14, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 16?$1.25Jul 14, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 16?$0.65Jul 14, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 15?$0.90Jul 14, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 16?$6.95Jul 14, 09:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on July 16?$6.62Jul 14, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 14?$37.57Jul 14, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?$1.20Jul 14, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 16?$0.65Jul 14, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?$2.45Jul 14, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 16?$1.20Jul 14, 07:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
22/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $7.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 10:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.