Vital-Portion
0xf928427e292ed25b69e3029e0aac2e4c2a626b7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$-965.54
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 13?
967 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.39
- NO
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by October 31?
307 shares @ 92.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-284.50
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 0.95–0.99ºC in July 2025?
284 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on August 26?
275 shares @ 88.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-244.32
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
231 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-120.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 59°F or below on October 9?
223 shares @ 99.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 9, 2025$0.00
$-220.99
- NO
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
200 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-142.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on October 6?
141 shares @ 92.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-130.85
- YES
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in September?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-72.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 58-59°F on October 10?
6 shares @ 90.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.44
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$162.19Dec 28, 18:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31?$333.31Dec 28, 14:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$85.07Dec 28, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$0.01Dec 28, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$10.00Dec 27, 23:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$941.30Dec 27, 22:41 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$487.82Dec 26, 06:59 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$361.39Dec 26, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 25?$399.98Dec 25, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$429.29Dec 25, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$94.80Dec 25, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$58.69Dec 24, 22:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 25?$178.29Dec 24, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 25?$3.80Dec 24, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 25?$75.95Dec 24, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 25?$13.38Dec 24, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 4°C on December 25?$113.37Dec 24, 16:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on December 22?$62.00Dec 24, 15:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$1.00Dec 22, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$4.85Dec 22, 09:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $73.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 21, 17:01 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 28, 18:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.