Pricey-Lending
0xf92bdb25ba608ae9057326796dd34e9b5a7d4342
Wallet digest
Activity score
26/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-899.66
Realised
$-12.38
Win rate
3%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6286 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-220.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
991 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score
661 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-410.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
117 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 27, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYScotland vs. Brazil: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 AND Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 2.5 AND Brazil to win the second half?$37.50Jun 24, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$10.29Jun 24, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: 1st Half O/U 0.5 AND Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5 AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$1.20Jun 24, 20:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 20, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$414.67Jun 17, 17:34 UTC
- TRADESELLPortugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$414.80Jun 17, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score$404.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
33 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $145.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 20:47 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.