Partial-Diploma
0xf944b3e0ea09bff5b30c63520cb9cd75b7973893
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$34.78
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?
13 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$12.89
$3.09
- NO
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?
12 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$11.71
$2.81
- NO
Will Alberta join the US?
10 shares @ 95.7¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.17
$0.17
- 76ERS
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
5360 shares @ 52.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.8K
- NO
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
14 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$10.08Jul 8, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$9.87Jul 8, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$8.96Jul 8, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMPoznan: Gustavo Heide vs Jan Choinski$10.00Jul 8, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYPoznan: Gustavo Heide vs Jan Choinski$8.05Jun 18, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberta join the US? $10.00May 27, 14:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$2.45May 27, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$3.20May 27, 13:59 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffs$1.06Mar 31, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 3?$3.02Mar 31, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMKatana FDV above $50M one day after launch?$4.07Mar 31, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: 76ers (-2.5)$2.7KMar 30, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$3.00Mar 3, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYKatana FDV above $50M one day after launch?$4.00Mar 3, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 3?$3.00Mar 3, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: 33 vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Meteor Playoffs$1.00Mar 3, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?$3.05Mar 3, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$4.03Mar 3, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.26Mar 3, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?$4.00Feb 23, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
17 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $163.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 12:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 06:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.