Wary-Withdrawal
0xf94aa5542fab9be082e626e5904d52bd742886ce
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$50.28
Total PnL
$3.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
16 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$16.27
$0.31
- NO
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?
12 shares @ 89.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$12.00
$1.21
- NO
Trump signs national abortion ban?
8 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$7.86
$0.39
- NO
Will Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
6 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$5.53
$0.02
- YES
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$4.35
$1.35
- NO
Will Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?
4 shares @ 96.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2025$4.27
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$3.00Mar 2, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ajax win the UEFA Europa League?$4.11Mar 2, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franz Wagner win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?$5.51Mar 2, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump signs national abortion ban?$7.47Feb 28, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?$10.79Feb 28, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$15.96Feb 25, 18:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 6
- Avg trade size
- $7.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 09:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".