Starchy-Payoff
0xf94c98db47a9e4a87e278096bf7227631883e4cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-210.36
Realised
$36.41
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?
817 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2025$0.00
$-98.00
- YES
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
176 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.53
- YES
Will Trump say Palestine during Netanyahu events on September 29?
161 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
US government shutdown by October 1?
147 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 27?
111 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on September 29?
85 shares @ 20.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 29, 2025$0.00
$-17.23
Recent activity
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$1.1KDec 30, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$948.85Dec 30, 13:59 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter Airdrop on December 31?$103.22Dec 29, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLNo airdrop in 2025?$588.99Dec 29, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLNo airdrop in 2025?$85.01Dec 29, 20:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.34Dec 29, 20:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $18.00Dec 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $1.00Dec 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $21.60Dec 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $21.60Dec 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $21.60Dec 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $418.86Dec 29, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter Airdrop on December 31?$100.00Dec 29, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $7.41Dec 28, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $2.28Dec 28, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $10.00Dec 28, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $26.13Dec 28, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $9.94Dec 28, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $0.63Dec 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $4.13Dec 27, 23:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $326.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 12:32 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 30, 14:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.