Simple-Anorak
0xf958f51f39a7493753ed5f91802b7f780d279436
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$81.08
Total PnL
$-17.82
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
81 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$81.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
2300 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.60
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 8?
1600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 30?
700 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 28?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 11?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- LAKERS
Lakers vs. Celtics
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$81.00Jun 8, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$81.08Jun 8, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5?$81.01Jun 4, 07:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.15Jun 4, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.40Jun 4, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$79.08Jun 4, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$79.00May 31, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$79.08May 31, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?$79.01May 29, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$78.98May 29, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?$78.90May 24, 10:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$78.08May 24, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$78.00May 19, 03:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$78.86May 19, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$78.78May 14, 09:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$78.08May 14, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$78.01May 12, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.40May 12, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.15May 12, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 4-10?$81.08May 12, 03:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $59.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 03:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.