Ugly-Mister
0xf959c0de9838c86d6fb826c4dc74de0cc50c028d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 9–16?
18 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74–75°F on May 16?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
3 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70–71°F on May 16?
3 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.44May 5, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$5.00Feb 4, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$5.00Jan 20, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$15.00Jan 20, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$15.00Jan 20, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$20.00Jan 20, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President in 2025?$20.00Jan 20, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$20.00Dec 3, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$5.00Oct 23, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold close above $5000 at the end of 2025?$13.50Oct 23, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$14.40Oct 23, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$4.50Oct 23, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President in 2025?$19.10Oct 23, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia in 2025?$19.32Oct 23, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$18.60Oct 23, 10:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?$1.00Oct 23, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from September 26 to October 3, 2025?$4.92Oct 2, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$3.70Aug 25, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$3.68Aug 25, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$8.10Aug 22, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 14:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 20:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".