Conventional-Trinket
0xf95d5faa95780d9557d58e7618a00c7f00d55aca
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$123.00
Total PnL
$-35.47
Realised
$1.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
OpenAI browser by September 30?
15 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$15.00
$4.10
- YES
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
10 shares @ 40.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$6.00
- YES
Will the U.S. national debt hit $38 trillion in 2025?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$0.80
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$10.00
$1.70
- NO
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.00
$4.30
- NO
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$2.60
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$2.70
- YES
Will U.S. summer tourism decline in 2025?
8 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$8.00
$1.04
- YES
California redistricting referendum passes?
5 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.65
- YES
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
5 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.00
$0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by September 30?$4.10Sep 6, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - September 5, 8PM ET$1.90Sep 6, 00:20 UTC
- TRADESELLFact Check: Is the suspect transgender?$1.13Sep 6, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom launch a token in September? $3.80Sep 6, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,350 on September 6 at 12AM ET?$1.50Sep 6, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYSupreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?$5.70Sep 5, 23:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$4.00Sep 5, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$8.30Sep 5, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Powerball jackpot hit $2 billion by September 14?$3.00Sep 5, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpenAI browser by October 31?$2.30Sep 5, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 7PM ET$2.80Sep 5, 23:16 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $4100 on September 3?$5.00Sep 5, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Gaza" during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?$5.00Sep 5, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMUS Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jan Lennard Struff$5.00Sep 5, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Venezuela" this week? (September 1 - 7)$10.00Sep 5, 23:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Billionaire" 7+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?$10.00Sep 5, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDoge ETF approved in 2025?$2.10Sep 4, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?$3.75Sep 2, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Battery" 5+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?$4.45Sep 2, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift holds top ten spots on the Billboard Hot 100 for the week of October 18th?$1.59Sep 1, 22:28 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 29, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 6, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".