Revolving-Denominator-Academy
0xf95ee4c4b6902621efe74aea766af4a811f24a51
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.26
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-37.10
Win rate
0%
179 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
20 shares @ 19.0¢·now 67.1¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$13.46
$9.65
- YES
Will Trump praise Roger Penske in August?
16 shares @ 24.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$10.72
$6.88
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
13 shares @ 31.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.15
$0.19
- NO
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
10 shares @ 39.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.00
$0.10
- YES
Will Mateus Simões win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
24 shares @ 16.8¢·now 8.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.90
$-2.09
- YES
Will Marcelo Aro win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?
14 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.2¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.03
$-3.87
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
750 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
704 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?$6.09Aug 17, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EC Vitória win on 2026-08-16?$3.97Aug 16, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin not meet?$3.90Aug 15, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-08-15?$4.10Aug 15, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Plymouth Argyle FC win on 2026-08-15?$3.43Aug 15, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Putin meet next in China?$3.96Aug 15, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMAl Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5$6.39Aug 14, 22:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?$4.00Aug 14, 21:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill NEOM SC win on 2026-08-14?$4.10Aug 14, 21:24 UTC
- REDEEMNEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5$6.38Aug 14, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMNEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5$4.14Aug 14, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-14?$3.56Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club (-1.5)$3.66Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAl Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5$3.98Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during remarks in New York?$3.88Aug 14, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NEOM SC win on 2026-08-14?$3.39Aug 14, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5$3.86Aug 14, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYNEOM SC vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5$3.62Aug 14, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-13?$4.00Aug 13, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-13?$3.69Aug 13, 19:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
57/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 179 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 35/100.
179 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $3.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 01:22 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 02:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 179 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.