Sweaty-Squash
0xf960da7859718a81a8a239054330d90a7d1eba50
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-15.73
Realised
$0.91
Win rate
100%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on July 29?
122 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$120.48
$0.98
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 30?
118 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$117.49
$0.12
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on July 30?
118 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$117.37
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?
118 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$117.31
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81°F or below on July 30?
118 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$117.31
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C or below on July 30?
118 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$117.31
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 87°F or below on July 30?
118 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$117.31
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 30?
118 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$117.31
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 30?
118 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$117.31
$-0.06
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on July 30?
113 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$112.09
$0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 79°F or below on July 30?$117.40Jul 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 30?$117.40Jul 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be 87°F or below on July 30?$117.40Jul 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be 81°F or below on July 30?$117.40Jul 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on July 30?$117.40Jul 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C or below on July 30?$117.40Jul 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on July 30?$117.40Jul 29, 02:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on July 30?$117.41Jul 29, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?$105.44Jul 29, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 29?$126.62Jul 29, 02:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 29?$14.97Jul 29, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on July 30?$26.56Jul 29, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on July 30?$26.56Jul 29, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on July 30?$4.99Jul 29, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on July 30?$4.95Jul 29, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 29?$82.79Jul 29, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 29?$30.74Jul 29, 01:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 28?$8.97Jul 29, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 28?$9.99Jul 29, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 30?$4.95Jul 29, 01:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $50.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 22:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 02:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.